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8. Economic Trends, Development Concepts, Projects8.1. Structural and Organisational ChangesIn the past five years an irreversible process completed in which the industrial branch-company structure which used to play a dominant role in the county's industry for decades disappeared. The majority of the structure controlled by the extraction industry and the processing industry, mainly based on raw materials of agricultural origin has crumpled. The most visible evidence of this is the liquidation or transformation of former large state companies to smaller units. Neither a structural vacuum occurred formally after the disappearance of these large companies, nor an immediate and efficient structure was generated. The number of newly established enterprises -both with and without legal entity- takes the form of a leap, more joint ventures were established with foreign participation, a significant part of the formerly active workers has become retired, and one-tenth of them unemployed. As a result of these changes the former economic structure with the dominance of large companies was changed into an SME majority structure. The company employment structure became more tense, industrial branch ratios have been shifted to the tertiary sector. In spite of apparently satisfactory restructuring doubts still exist; no one can think that the new structure established in the past five years will be solid enough to provide a balanced business operation in the long run. Business operations in the past years have shown that private capital by itself cannot make characteristic changes within the mezzo and microstructure of the county. The inner power of the economic processes is limited, beside municipalities there is no other potential social-political-business formation which will take care of the economic development of the county. Under "economic health" -as referred to it before- the area adaptiveness of the regional unit (town or town and its agglomeration) is meant, i.e. available and summarised quantitative factors of those processes which, according to our opinion, can demonstrate the conversion of economy to a new development path. These are the following: spread and density of enterprises, increase of proportion of joint ventures with foreign participation, improvement of income of the population, furthermore reduction in unemployment. Distribution of economic association with legal entity by 1995 8.1. Structural and Organisational ChangesDistribution of operating enterprises within Baranya county, 2001
Source: Baranya County Statistical Yearbook, 2001 Source: Baranya County Directorate of the Central Statistical Office During the past years of the 90's all forms of enterprises were moving. Several new organisations were set up, and parallel lot of them became liquidated. Certain parts of the former large companies were transformed into independent units and faced the similar type of problems like before. After realising that they are unable to adapt new requirements liquidation was the final resolution again. Beside private enterprises and associations without legal entity, among associations with legal entity the majority employed only a few workers thus the number of big ones determining the changes in economic output was significantly reduced. Neither in Baranya nor in Pécs, instead of the disarranged large and medium size companies, the entrepreneurial circle has not been generated yet which is capable for a better economic output however quantitative changes are significant. There are only a few wealthy private investors. Enterprises were set up mostly in those branches where no significant capital is required. This way the risk is smaller, the mobility of the capital is higher if compared to areas requiring more equipment and special techniques where a change cannot be made without great losses. The low level economic output of the area, as demonstrated by the structure of organisations, can be improved only by having capital investments. 8.2. Weak and Strong Factors of Inner Resources8.2.1. Weak Points of the EconomyThe county can be characterised with a unilateral industrial and organisational structure which has to be eliminated by the economic transformation. Mining companies and large state companies used to belong to this sphere. This way the company lost its economic power, market opportunities, export and employment was greatly reduced. Former advantages of economic geography playing dominant role in the area (extraction industry, agriculture) have became dispreferred, positions greatly weakened. Lost markets in the East could not be won back or converted to the same volume. Baranya has got an extremely poor export output today. The present geopolitical situation is another major disadvantage due to the adjacent border and the Serbian war. This way not only the sound Southern markets are blocked but potential Western investors and visitors are discouraged. Pécs is not easy to be accessed, the motorway network is rather poor, air and water transport is missing. From East the Duna, from South the border practically closes the town from outer economic processes; from investment viewpoints the existing opportunities are degraded this way. 8.2.2. The Potential, Opportunities and Sources of the CountyThe county has got beyond the most drastic steps of restructuring with negative impacts (setback of coal and uranium mining); no other severe measures are expected in the near future. Certain companies are "revitalised" from the "ruins" or at last they have good chances for this. Remaining parts of the former company structures provide good opportunities for utilisation (unused assets, available expertise, production experience). The nucleus organisations of innovative development started to work again. Several organisations and institutes established a branch within the county - especially in the economic-financial services sector- providing good supply for the local economy. Pécs is the intellectual, educational (especially of higher education) and cultural centre of the region, the available workforce is well trained. The dominant role of the town in establishing a new structure is sensible again. The historic centre of the town is a real part of the European history and culture. It has got a unique atmosphere and style. The town and its environment is a gem within a large nature preservation area attracting several domestic and foreign visitors every year. Pécs is still the regional centre which status provides functions and elements which attracts not only citizens within the region but their organisations as well. There is way to strengthen the regional role based on supply and demand type interest. Due to ethnic and institutional (municipal) links both home and abroad, there is investing and economic interest for the town which have achieved actual results as well. On the economic, geographic and intellectual basis of the region there are good chances to attract both domestic and foreign investors utilising unused capacities. Entrepreneurial feeling and ability is rather developed, there is local capital accumulation, the local market together with the agglomeration area is stimulative, new companies are set up every day, the volume of produced income is significant. The tension between the county and Pécs is over which means not only a hindering factor is eliminated but joint sources can be much better coordinated. 8.3. Basic Elements of the Economic Development StrategyThe achievable objective is the renewal of the Pécs-Baranya economic structure the majority of which is almost liquidated through the devaluation of economic transformation processes. The structure can be characterised with high level of technology, orientation toward innovation and quality. This is attractive to the foreign capital, output production capacity is higher, it improves export balance of the county, on the basis of geographic location products can be sold in Eastern, Western (later on Southern) markets and supports the new image of the county as well. Strategic means
The idea to set up business parks is supported by Pécs and Komló as well. The implementation can be accelerated by the fact that this can be linked to similar efforts of the Mine Property Utilisation Co. Ltd. and this way the adjacent areas can be jointly handled. Development can be started so that green field is available however the existing buildings can also be utilised to establish
and all the above can be related to a technological-innovation centre generated in the appropriate environment on the basis of the research and development basis. The incubation centre could provide favourable conditions especially for small enterprises during the setting up and initial operation process in the first 2-3 years. The technological centre would accommodate enterprises using sophisticated equipments and techniques by supporting the product and technology development, providing the required experimental, training and administration background; and if foreign investors can be attracted, to provide capital investment for these enterprises. The professional research and development background should be based on the universities, the profile of the centre will be defined by this accumulated knowledge and expertise. The local financing institutions can support the spread of sophisticated technique, new products and technologies. For example the South Pannonian Venture Capital Inc. was especially established for this purpose however other investors or funds are also required. The basic economic-political objective is the mobilisation of the county economy by promoting the setting up of new enterprises and supporting the existing ones. It is necessary for the county to increase the output production capacity and employment which can be basically achieved by supporting the entrepreneurial sector i.e. the establishment of SMEs. In general this is a task for the county, municipal and economic municipalities (chambers of commerce). This also means that reasonably efforts and sources are required to be coordinated and arbitrated continuously. Promotion of settling down enterprises The above mentioned multi-functioned business park itself means land for premises (prepared with infrastructure). Support can be in the form of
Beside this the municipality, independently from contribution purposes, can directly manage and orient the settlement of enterprises, decision making of investors by the fact that according to the general city plan, beside the industrial zone further land can be used for industrial or servicing purposes which are conform to environmental regulations, access and infrastructure are available. Based on existing premises, unused buildings and assets, districts and bases for SMEs can be marked separately.
8.4. Possible Clusters of Economic DevelopmentCentres of work distribution and relationship structure of the local economy can be called development clusters which provide basic elements of the economic development strategy. These clusters are nodes in the economy which
The possible clusters can be the following: 8.4.1. Technology-intense Processing Industry ClusterConcerning all possible clusters this is the least developed and most promising one. The elements of it could be the potentially developing parts of processing industry bases with the relevant intellectual, R and D background. Concerning branch structure the range can be variable as follows:
8.4.2. Tertiary Sector - Tourism ClusterDevelopment of economic-business infrastructure and services form one line, while conventional consumer services the other line combined with tourism. Since several sorts of tourism can be programmed this cluster can follow a rather diversified organisational-functional model. Elements can be the following:
8.4.3. Food Processing Industry ClusterHowever food processing industry cannot be regarded a promising sector in general, it is worth taking into account due to the area capabilities and the relatively favourable market and export opportunities. Since R and D background is mainly available for this branch this industry can possibly play an initiative role of economic development. This cluster, based on its partially available vertical structure, can comprehend the whole process including the sale of the end product. Elements are the following:
The cluster basically can be established in five fields:
All possible clusters are hypothetical: both for having only the basis for the formation and outlined only on the basis of preliminary market conditions. Each cluster requires to initiate an independent program package by including all interested and potential parties an detailed further market analysis mainly based on primary information. 8.5. Development Concepts8.5.1. Traffic InfrastructureThe development is based upon the assumption that it is necessary to establish traffic and telecommunication infrastructure jointly with the neighbouring countries to all directions for servicing EU needs.
Concerning railway development, capacity increase and quality improvement can only be expected. Within reasonable time the improvement of public road access to Baranya -including Pécs - is hoped by the widening of No. 6 main road furthermore linking and perhaps improving the Pécs- Dombóvár- Nagykónyi- Iregszemcse- Siófok route to M7 motorway toward Budapest. The public road network development proposal of the Ministry of Economy and Transport aims at transforming the country's radial road structure into a radial-circular system. The first phase of the development programme includes the following main construction elements to be completed until 2015:
The second phase of the development program include the following construction elements:
In order to make use of opportunities provided by the Duna-Main-Rhine transcontinental water course, appropriate public roads and port facility is required with sophisticated and efficient material handling equipment and managed by a logistic centre. The huge and unused transport capacity of river Danube necessitated the development of Ro-Ro shipment facilities. The first and so far the only Ro-Ro terminal within the region was built in 1999 near the town of Baja. One ship is able to transport 60 lorries or 240 passanger cars. Mohács, another small town along river Danube, also has good chances to build a Ro-Ro terminal in the near future as the Danube Shipping, Trading and Service Co intends to carry out a development project there, worth of 10 Billion HUF. The lack of a public airport has also been hindering the competitiveness of the region. Nevertheless, there is good chance now that the Pécs-Pogány airport will be developed into a Level 3 regional airport. The aerodrome can be found on the way from Pécs towards Harkány on road no. 58. In the first phase, 30 to 50 thousand passengers and 25-30 thousand tons of cargo planned for air shipment. The main technical features of the airfield are as follows:
Source: Pécs-Pogány Airport 8.5.2. TourismDue to the role of Pécs in the cultural, business, diplomatic and scientific life of Baranya, it is necessary to develop business and conference tourism facilities in the regional centre. The touristic proposal of Baranya should also support this objective. The next in rank is the development of health and spa tourism and related services based on thermal springs including the development of recreation and rehabilitation facilities. A special touristic offer could be the presentation of different phases of wine making and related traditions by providing special programs by visiting the wine road. The structure of small settlements, the variety of natural beauty, the diverse ethnic composition, traditions and local initiatives obviously provide the integrated development of rural tourism as another priority. Artificial lakes, brooks, woods full with game, natural preservation areas makes the development of green tourism reasonable. Different forms of recreation (fishing, pony trekking, biking, orienteering, nature monitoring) should be made available. Hunting itself is a traditional activity the goodwill of which should maintained in the long run. By providing leisure time programs for the accompanying family members the revenues can be greatly increased. Castles and mansions are also available to provide first class services for wealthy lovers of green tourism. Hot springs in Baranya are not known very much in Europe therefore a change of profile required to wide-spread fitness movement could make them more competitive. Another advantage of thermal rehabilitation centres that they are located in beautiful environment, however limited infrastructure requires huge investment for further expansion. The World Heritage Committee of UNESCO included the early Christian cemetery of Pécs (also known as Sopianae in the Roman times) in the World Heritage List in 2000, thus ranking it with sites representing universal historic values and cultural assets of outstanding importance from the point of view of the history of humanity. The Early Christian cemetery of Pécs, considering both its size and wealth, is the most significant one in its relics of necropolis outside Italy, including the Dalmatian (Salona, Split, Nis), the Bulgarian (Sofia) or the Spanish or Swiss buildings (La Alberca, Chur). The relics are indeed unique in the province and in their uniqueness compose a heritage of universal value. Until December 2000, 690 natural and cultural heritage sites have been granted the honourable "World Heritage Site" title in the world: 529 cultural heritage sites, 138 sites of outstanding natural value and 23 sites belonging to both categories. 8.5.3. Major Environment Protection Objectives
8.6. Approval on InvestmentsOfficial approvals on investments are issued by the administrative department of the respective municipality. To initiate an official approval and to submit the required documentation is an obligation of the investor or its agent. The following licences are required for an investment:
For an investment requiring construction it is necessary to know the major figures for the respective real estate. Important data including location, basic area, lot number, way of cultivation, quality furthermore related rights can be found in the real estate registration. The registration is made on the basis of public and authenticated base maps managed by the land office. The recording of changes in rights and facts related to a piece of land can be initiated by submitting an official document within 30 days after the change. Licensing procedures are administered by respective departments of the municipalities, requirements are recorded by authority regulations with general validity which should be enforced through the licensing procedure. To contact the respective authorities is an obligation of the investor or it can be delegated to the designer. The designer is in charge of keeping authority regulations and is obliged to make a declaration about it. Public utility companies do not have a licensing authority for an investment. They have to issue a written declaration to the designer about the compliance of the service and conditions. The take-over licence can be issued only if respective authorities gave their approval on the basis of a joint account inspection. The following authorities are involved in licensing:
The following authorities should be contacted in relation to company registration and operation:
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